Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 7.958748 8.811858 9.741330 10.833149 12.085554 13.483140 15.168948
2025-12-14 6.486958 7.548971 8.782766 10.334896 12.253515 14.571434 17.620597
2025-12-21 5.707310 6.866330 8.272568 10.127735 12.546217 15.642785 19.992103
2025-12-28 5.611913 6.965786 8.677474 11.041823 14.290407 18.701596 25.334538
2026-01-04 5.280230 6.713324 8.583916 11.263150 15.103208 20.575400 29.290549
2026-01-11 4.836754 6.264682 8.175404 10.991526 15.166696 21.355216 31.694725
2026-01-18 4.635564 6.120154 8.158570 11.254558 16.013138 23.373438 36.339388
2026-01-25 4.324236 5.794936 7.855487 11.060526 16.131354 24.251840 39.200853
2026-02-01 4.065316 5.523271 7.604476 10.914425 16.296254 25.206004 42.326565
2026-02-08 3.826583 5.263304 7.348982 10.733715 16.376854 26.012272 45.293190
2026-02-15 3.600544 5.006942 7.079513 10.504714 16.346974 26.609860 47.939321
2026-02-22 3.436563 4.832637 6.921912 10.440168 16.585355 27.708490 51.782850
2026-03-01 3.203107 4.546262 6.582241 10.065093 16.271695 27.796950 53.634687
2026-03-08 2.970334 4.249294 6.209294 9.607821 15.770300 27.472345 54.537042
2026-03-15 2.815551 4.064798 6.003715 9.419152 15.740075 28.065715 57.662178
2026-03-22 2.880720 4.228469 6.369312 10.251723 17.715715 33.019750 72.533691
2026-03-29 2.817052 4.181184 6.382090 10.453047 18.487203 35.549042 81.954481
2026-04-05 2.676396 4.001130 6.160257 10.205959 18.329629 35.991227 85.758312
2026-04-12 2.630740 3.974710 6.198188 10.445234 19.196878 38.911717 97.577970
2026-04-19 2.518317 3.831321 6.025017 10.268740 19.165889 39.694752 103.116642
2026-04-26 2.420385 3.707807 5.879940 10.135793 19.215261 40.682674 109.625874
2026-05-03 2.323745 3.582188 5.724512 9.971291 19.178444 41.448958 115.643919
2026-05-10 2.226302 3.451119 5.552827 9.762727 19.022705 41.887001 120.667421